2019 NASCAR at Las Vegas picks, Playoffs predictions, odds: Fade Erik Jones, back Kevin Harvick in South Point 400

Nevada News

The NASCAR Playoffs are finally here, with the first of three races making up the Round of 16 hitting Las Vegas Motor Speedway on Sunday night for the South Point 400. The green flag drops in the desert at 7 p.m. ET. The point totals have been reset for the 16 drivers still in the hunt. Kyle Busch leads the way right now with a 15-point margin over Denny Hamlin, but 16 are in the hunt to advance and ultimately win it all. Vegas is a track that offers more racers a chance than most. The last nine races on the track have resulted in nine different pole winners. Six drivers have won at least one race on this track, including Busch, the 9-2 favorite in the latest 2019 South Point 400 odds. Brad Keselowski, who’s won three times on the Cup Series in Sin City, is one of three drivers next on the board at 6-1 odds, along with Kevin Harvick and Joey Logano, who edged out Keselowski for the win on this track in March. You’ll want to see the latest NASCAR at Las Vegas picks and predictions from handicapper Micah Roberts, the legendary Vegas bookmaker who pioneered wagering on racing, before laying any 2019 South Point 400 picks of your own.

Those who have wagered $100 on Roberts’ winning pick for each NASCAR race in 2019 is up $1,900. In fact, those who put down $50 on Roberts’ top-four leaderboard picks are up a whopping $2,550 on the year, buoyed by Alex Bowman’s stunning 30-1 win at Chicago. He’s hit on five of the last six races, including Hamlin at 12-1 odds at Bristol and Erik Jones at Darlington at 16-1.

Roberts started 2019 with a bang, picking 25-1 long shot Jimmie Johnson to win the Advance Auto Parts Clash. At the TicketGuardian 500, Roberts nailed Busch at 4-1 odds over the favored Harvick, and at Dover he hit Truex at 8-1. Roberts’ top 20 leaderboard has been on fire, too. At the TicketGuardian 500, he called an eye-popping eight of the top 10. At the Auto Club 400, he got nine of the top 10 correct.

Roberts entered the 2019 NASCAR season after finishing big-time in the black in 2018, returning $1,750 to $100 players. His biggest wins came when he went against the grain, taking Keselowski at 12-1 to win the South Point 400 at Las Vegas in the opening race of the NASCAR playoffs and going with Logano, also 12-1, to win the First Data 500 at Martinsville. Anyone who’s followed Roberts’ picks is up huge year after year. 

Now, Roberts has analyzed Sunday’s 2019 NASCAR at Las Vegas lineup. He’s sharing his winner and top-20 leaderboard over at SportsLine.

We can tell you Roberts is liking Harvick, one of the top contenders at 6-1 NASCAR at Las Vegas odds. Harvick has had considerable success on this track, including two Cup Series wins and two more in Xfinity racing. He’s also trending upward, with all three of his wins this year coming in the last seven races.

“He’s been racing at LVMS since it was first built, winning a K&N Pro Series race on it in 1998,” Roberts told SportsLine. “And he’s peaking at the right moment.”

We can also tell you that Roberts is fading Erik Jones, who won at Darlington two weeks ago and is at 12-1 NASCAR at Las Vegas odds. Jones went four races in a row finishing fourth or better in July and August, but over the last four races, his victory is accompanied by three lackluster starts finishing 26th on average. Roberts doesn’t see a massive reversal of fortune on Sunday — he has Jones finishing outside his top 10.

“Jones has raced on the track four times in the Cup Series and never finished higher than eighth,” Roberts said.

For the win, Roberts is eying a dark horse with double-digit odds who has run well at this track and has raced strong using the car package in play. He’s trending upward and Roberts says Sunday is his day. Anyone who backs this driver could hit it big.

So who wins the 2019 South Point 400? And which long shot stuns NASCAR? Visit SportsLine now to see the NASCAR at Las Vegas leaderboard from the nation’s premier NASCAR handicapper, and find out.

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